STATS PACK: Monday night's game could come down to fourth-quarter quarterback play

Posted Dec 10, 2013

Detroit Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford has a 30.2 passer rating in the fourth quarter over the last month

Matthew StaffordMatthew Stafford (Photo: G. Smith/Detroit Lions)

Baltimore and Detroit have been heading in opposite directions over the last month of the season.

The Lions (7-6) were riding high at 6-3, and in control of the NFC North, but have lost three of their last four.

The Ravens (7-6) are coming off three-straight home victories that have helped them back into the AFC playoff hunt.

Monday's matchup between these two squads looks like a good one on paper and might just come down to whose quarterback plays better in the fourth quarter.

In the three losses over the last four games, Stafford has struggled in the fourth quarter. He’s completed 8-of-33 passes for 145 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions for a quarterback rating of 30.2.

Flacco, on the other hand, is 24-of-38 passing for 219 with two touchdowns and one interception in the fourth quarter over the last four weeks. His passer rating in the quarter over that span is 85.3.

The Lions have turned the ball over 15 times in the last four games and aren’t getting great play from their offense or defense late in games (outscored 49-20 in fourth quarter over last four games).

That combination has led to the team's current skid.

Here's a look at some other key stats after 14 weeks of football:


Offense: 2nd overall (19 rush, 3 pass) – 6th in points scored

Defense: 17th overall (6 rush, 25 pass) – 24th in points allowed


Offense: 29th overall (29 rush, 20 pass) – 24th in points scored

Defense: 9th overall (8 rush, 14 pass) – 8th in points allowed

  • There are four teams in the NFL with a minus turnover ratio that have a winning record: Cincinnati -1 (9-4) Denver -2 (11-2), Baltimore -5 (7-6) and Detroit -10 (7-6).
  • The red zone will be key to Monday night’s matchup. Baltimore’s defense is No. 1 in the NFL in red zone defense, allowing a touchdown just 39.4 percent of the time. The Lions offense scores a touchdown 61.2 percent of the time it’s inside the opponent's 20-yard line, which ranks fifth.
  • The Lions defense isn’t too bad in the red zone, either. It ranks No. 3 in the NFL with a 40.0 percent touchdown rate.
  • Missing Sunday’s game in Philadelphia has dropped running back Reggie Bush out of the top 10 in the NFL in rushing yards. He currently ranks 11th with 854 yards (4.7 average). He still ranks eighth in total yards from scrimmage (1,302).
  • Opponents are converting 3rd-and-10 situations just 8.3 percent of the time against the Lions defense this year. That's the second-best mark in the league. The Lions are No. 1 overall on third down (30.2 percent).
  • Lions kick returner Jeremy Ross has had a huge impact on Lions special teams units. The Lions ranked 26th in average starting field position following kickoffs (20.3-yard line) after Week 12. Two weeks later, they rank eighth with an average starting spot at the 22.6-yard line.
  • The Lions have five players – Calvin Johnson (75), Bush (45), Brandon Pettigrew (39), Joique Bell (38) and Kris Durham (35) – who rank in the top 49 in the NFC in receptions this season.
  • Detroit has 1,918 yards after the catch, the second-most in the NFL (Denver) through 13 games. The league average is 1,478.
  • Opponents have a 106.0 passer rating against the Lions when they blitz, according to STATS, LLC. That's the highest rating in the NFL.
  • Sam Martin has 38 touchbacks on kickoffs this year. That’s the ninth-most in the NFL.
  • Linebacker DeAndre Levy continues to lead the NFL after Week 14 with six interceptions.