LIONS INSIDER

Fantasy Football Analysis: Who to start, who to sit - Week 11

Posted Nov 15, 2012

Tim Twentyman offers his advice to fantasy football owners. Among some of the top picks this week: start Bills' RB C.J. Spiller, sit Ravens' QB Joe Flacco.

LIONS' FIVE

Matthew Stafford, QB, Start: Stafford is steadily moving up the ranks among fantasy quarterbacks (12th) after a 30-point performance last week at Minnesota. The Packers have faced only two real good passing teams this year in the Saints and Colts and gave up 35 and 32 fantasy points, respectively.

Mikel Leshoure, RB, Sit: The Packers are allowing an average of 14.6 points to fantasy runners this season, which is below the league average of 16.2. It’s tough to start Leshoure as more than a No. 2 or flex option this week because of his inconsistency from week-to-week.

Titus Young, WR, Start: Young hasn’t produced like a lot of fantasy owners thought he might but he has a pretty good matchup this week against a banged-up Packers secondary and could be a nice flex option. Young had 22 fantasy points in his last home game (Seahawks) and had two touchdowns in his last meeting against the Packers a season ago.

Brandon Pettigrew, TE, Start: Pettigrew got into the end zone for only the second time this last week at Minnesota, but he’s been targeted at least nine times in two of the teams last three games.

Lions defense, Sit: The lack of turnovers and special teams scores has the defense ranked No. 27 out of 32 fantasy defenses. Don’t expect things to get much better this week against a Packers offense that scores touchdowns and doesn’t turn the ball over.

START

C.J. Spiller, RB, Bills: No Fred Jackson this means Spiller will get the bulk of the workload tonight. He was one of the best fantasy producers earlier this season when the Bills’ backfield was all his.

Andy Dalton, QB, Bengals: Dalton has been a nice surprise for fantasy owners this year ranking No. 11 among all signal callers. Dalton has four games this year where he’s thrown for at least three touchdowns and is coming off a 31-point performance against the Giants last week. He plays a Chiefs team that’s given up 18 passing touchdowns this season.

Jamaal Charles, RB, Chiefs: When the Chiefs feed Charles the ball, he produces, like he did last week against the Steelers (16 points). Charles has 477 yards and two touchdowns in the three games he has over 20 carries this season. The Bengals have given up a rushing touchdown in seven of nine games this year.

Antonio Gates, TE, Chargers: Gates has started to pick it up (10 and 11 points in last two weeks) after a slow start (11 points in first four weeks behind). Gates has a good matchup this week against a Broncos defense that’s allowed the most points to tight ends this season (11.7 average).

Eric Decker, WR, Broncos: Decker has scored at least 15 points in three of his last four games. Despite a poor performance last week (one point), Decker is in line for a big game against a Chargers defense that’s No. 22 against fantasy receivers with 12 touchdowns allowed.

SIT

Joe Flacco, QB, Ravens: What? Sit the top fantasy quarterback from last week (35 points). I would on the road against the Steelers defense. The Steelers have the league’s best pass defense and have allowed an average of 7.3 points to quarterbacks over their last four games.

Isaac Redman, RB, Steelers: Redman has clearly given way to Jonathan Dwyer in the Steelers backfield and could fall to No. 3 is Rashard Mendenhall (Achilles) return to action this week. Redman fumbled last week against the Chiefs and had just eight carries to Dwyer’s 19.

Torrey Smith, WR, Ravens: Smith has three touchdowns over his last two games but is playing on the road in Pittsburgh this week. Smith has just one touchdown this season on the road and the Steelers have allowed only seven touchdown catches all year.

Philip Rivers, QB, Chargers: If recent history means anything, I’d sit Rivers if I had another option. The Broncos forced Rivers into six turnovers in a Week 6 matchup and just 13 fantasy points.

Michael Crabtree, WR, 49ers: He’s been good over his last two (10 catches for 142 yards and three touchdowns) but the Bears have only allowed four passing touchdowns all season.

SLEEPERS

Marcel Reece, RB, Raiders: Reece should get the bulk of the carries again this week and faces a Saints defense that’s allowing and average of 22.3 points to running backs on the road.

Nick Foles, QB, Eagles: Only two quarterbacks this year have failed to throw for either 300 yards or multiple touchdowns against a Redskins defense that ranks third-worst against opposing passers.

Jacquizz Rodgers, RB, Falcons: Consider this, Rodgers has more just as many fantasy points, or more, than Michael Turner in two of the Falcons’ last three games. Could make him a nice flex option this week.

Dwayne Allen, TE, Colts: If you need a tight end because of injury or the bye week, Allen could be a nice sleeper option. Coby Fleener is out so Allen should get a number of targets against a Patriots defense allowing the fourth-most points to tight ends.

James Starks, RB, Packers: Starks has taken over as the starter for Alex Green and it’s never a bad option to play a starter as your No. 2 or flex. The Lions have only allowed three rushing touchdown this year, so beware.